EU feed production forecast for 2024 rises to 147MMTs amid mixed sectoral outlook

EUROPE – The European Feed Manufacturers’ Federation (FEFAC) has revealed its 2024 EU compound feed production forecast, projecting a slight increase to 147 million metric tons (MMTs). 

This cautious optimism reflects a complex interplay of trends across livestock sectors, influenced by economic uncertainties, regulatory pressures, environmental challenges, and persistent animal disease outbreaks.  

Poultry feed production is expected to grow by 1.3%, marking a recovery from the setbacks caused by widespread Avian Influenza in 2023. 

Countries like France, Spain, and Portugal are leading this rebound with increased poultry output, fueled by improved biosecurity measures and growing consumer demand. 

However, the sector remains uneven, as Hungary and Italy continue to grapple with ongoing H5N1 outbreaks that restrict overall growth.  

In the pig feed segment, stability appears within reach following years of declining production. Modest recoveries are projected in Ireland (+3%), Spain (+5%), and Poland (+1.9%), supported by gradual improvements in pig population management. 

Nevertheless, challenges persist, particularly in Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands, where stricter environmental regulations are prompting calls to reduce emissions and scale back animal husbandry. 

These policies add pressure to an already strained sector grappling with African swine fever and fluctuating global pork demand.  

Cattle feed production is forecasted to remain steady, though regional variations are driven by differences in roughage availability and the rising cost of feed ingredients. 

Some areas have benefited from favourable weather conditions and improved silage quality, while others face shortages due to climatic unpredictability.  

The EU feed sector plays a pivotal role in sustaining the region’s agricultural ecosystem, contributing to an annual feed demand of 644 MMTs for farm and pet animals. 

Compound feed manufacturers meet 23% of this demand, generating a turnover of €50 billion (US$52.5 billion) and employing over 100,000 people across approximately 3,200 production sites. 

Despite this, the industry faces mounting challenges, including rising energy costs, inflation, and evolving consumer expectations for sustainable practices.  

Environmental concerns are driving significant innovation within the industry. Producers are increasingly turning to alternative feed ingredients, such as insect protein and algae, to reduce reliance on traditional grains like soybeans. 

At the same time, precision feeding technologies and data-driven tools are helping optimise feed efficiency, minimise waste, and lower emissions. 

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